2009 Fantasy Football Busts

The following players are either on my do not draft list, or they are being drafted much too early in my opinion, in which case I would not end up with them on my team.

Matt Cassel - Prior to the injury, Cassel was already trouble. A poor offensive line, wait no, a poor team. Not even Tony Gonzalez could take it anymore. I'm predicting more INTs than TDs, and another injury midseason. Don't make the same mistake the Chiefs did.

Dwayne Bowe - Bowe certainly has some talent, but the situation in Kansas City is bad and I don't see too many other weapons (see above). I've seen Bowe go way too high in recent drafts. With the extra attention after a breakout season last year, expect Bowe to have a tough time duplicating last year's performance.

Lance Moore - More so in Yahoo leagues, I've seen Lance Moore go very early in drafts. ESPN has him ranked much lower, so he seems to be going later, which is okay with me. Don't get me wrong, I like the guy, and he does have Brees, but Colston is back and healthy, and I'm expecting a drop in production for Moore. With that being said, if Moore does drop, I'm still willing to draft him with Brees throwing the ball around.

Joseph Addai - Addai looks like he's ready to go, but I just can't trust this guy to be one of my starting backs. I think Donald Brown will take away a lot of carries, eventually earning an equal role if not primary. Yes he's a rookie, but the Colts drafted him early and really like this kid. Running backs have the shortest learning curve of all the positions. Addai is dropping like a rock in drafts, making him draftable based on value, just don't take him too early.

Brett Favre - Read my blog and you'll know. Favre will be 40 years old. Favre has a bum shoulder. Favre led the league in interceptions last season. Favre faded down the stretch. Favre skipped out on training camp. Should I keep going?

Tony Gonzalez (sort of) - I don't think TG is going to be a complete bust. The guy has mad skills. He is however getting up there in age. You'd think leaving KC would help him, but I just don't think he can come close to last years stats of 10 TDs and over 1,000 yards. See, unlike the Chiefs, the Falcons have talent. There's this guy named Roddy White and another guy named Michael Jenkins who is dependable. Oh wait, who is that other guy? Right, Michael Turner. My point is that, the focus of the offense is NOT going to be Tony Gonzalez. He'll get his share of catches, but his numbers should decrease noticeably across the board. He's going to be doing more blocking this season. I've seen him go as the first TE taken, and that's just not right. Witten is my man, and after that I'm waiting, because there's a hell of a lot of solid TE that you can pick up in the later rounds.

Roy Williams - Something rubs me the wrong way about Roy Williams, and it has nothing to do with the person he is, but the player he is. He's talented, but not in the same class as a lot of the players who are around the same ADP. He's never shown me that he's capable of consistently producing as a number one. I have this weird gut feeling that tells me not to draft him every time I see his name. Just throwing it out there, but I bet he misses at least 4 games this season. The guy already got hurt in training camp about three times. Do yourself a favor and take a Vincent Jackson, Housh or even Desean Jackson who I'm very high on this season. Then come back in the later rounds and snag Patrick Crayton or Miles Austin, both who have good value for where they're being drafted, and like I said, I don't think Roy Williams is going to hold up, and even if he does, I'm not convinced he'll perform like a number one.

Eli Manning - Superbowl ring or not, Eli is going to take a dip in fantasy numbers. Last time I checked, footballs don't fit through jail cell bars. Anyway, the Giants have a few nice looking receivers such as Smith and Hixon, but these guys aren't number one receivers. I expect the Giants to pound the ball more with Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw. Eli will throw when they need too, similar to Big Ben. He's going to be more of a manager of the game, which can be successful in real life, but in fantasy... not so much! Let's face it, Eli's wasn't a top QB even with Plax.

I'm sure I've missed a few, but hey I'm sick of typing, and the couch is calling me.

"Rack me, I'm done."